HomeInflationU.S. Inflation Rises to 2.6% Year-Over-Year in October

U.S. Inflation Rises to 2.6% Year-Over-Year in October

U.S. consumer prices rose as expected in October, with rising shelter costs — including rental prices, owners’ equivalent rent, and hotel rates — continuing to drive overall inflation, alongside increases in food, electricity, used vehicles, and healthcare.

Increases in shelter prices accounted "for over half of the monthly all items increase," the Labor Department’s monthly inflation report noted.

The headline inflation figure shows that U.S. consumer prices rose by 0.2% in October, matching increases from each of the previous three months, according to the Labor Department’s November 13 report on the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The CPI, a closely watched inflation gauge, measures what American consumers pay for a broad range of everyday items, from vegetables to vehicles.

Overall, food prices rose by 0.2% for the month, following a 0.4% increase in September. Within the food category, grocery store prices edged up 0.1% after a 0.4% rise, while dining-out expenses grew by 0.2% compared to the previous 0.3% gain.

Meanwhile, over the past year, food prices rose by 2.1%, down from 2.3%. Grocery prices increased by 1.1%, compared to a previous rise of 1.3%, while dining-out costs climbed by 3.8%, slightly below the prior increase of 3.9%.

In other sectors, pump prices fell by 0.9% in October after a 4.1% decline in September. Year-over-year, gas prices dropped by 12.2%, compared to the previous decrease of 15.3%.

The broader energy index, which includes items like gasoline, electricity, and fuel oil, remained unchanged for the month after a 1.9% fall in September. Year-over-year, energy prices fell by 4.9%, compared to the previous decline of 6.8%.

Excluding volatile food and energy components, the rate of core consumer prices rose by 0.3% for the third consecutive month in October.

Shelter or housing prices increased by 0.4% for the month, marking their 54th consecutive monthly rise, following a 0.2% gain. Year-over-year, they increased by 4.9% once again.

Recent 12-month comparisons show gains of 4.9% in September, 5.2% in August, 5.1% in July, 5.2% in June, 5.4% in May, 5.5% in April, 5.7% in both March and February, 6% in January, 6.2% in December 2023, 6.5% in November 2023, 6.7% in October 2023, 7.2% in September 2023, 7.3% in August 2023, 7.7% in July 2023, 7.8% in June 2023, 8% in May 2023, 8.1% in April 2023, and 8.2% in March 2023, the latter being the most significant annual increase since June 1982.

Components of shelter include prices of items like rent for apartments, rental equivalence, lodging away from home such as hotels and motels, and housing at schools. This index accounts for about one-third of the entire CPI.

In other closely watched pricing areas:

  • Clothing prices declined by 1.5% for the month after a previous rise of 1.1%, advancing 0.3% from a year ago.
  • New vehicle prices remained unchanged in October after climbing by 0.2% in September, but they showed a year-over-year decline of 1.3%.
  • Used car and truck prices jumped by 2.7% during the month, following a previous 0.3% increase. Year-over-year, they fell by 3.4%.
  • Airline fares surged by 4.1% compared to the previous year. For the month, they jumped by 3.2% for the second consecutive time.

In terms of the headline annual rate, inflation rose by 2.6% for the 12 months ending in October, compared to the prior 2.4% increase.

For a broader perspective and a look further back, the inflation rate peaked at 9.1% during the 12-month period ending in June 2022. This was the fastest rate of inflation since November 1981. Additionally, until March 2023, inflation rates had remained at or above 6% for 17 consecutive months.

Meanwhile, core inflation increased by 3.3% in the year through October for the second consecutive time. This core, "all items less food and energy" index is one of the benchmark inflation rates monitored by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to guide the central bank in setting its key interest rate.

As recently as September 2022, the annual core inflation rate at 6.6% was the highest since August 1982. Many economists consider the core reading as a better predictor for future inflation.

The following table of key inflation figures is for the last seven months through October, as published by the U.S. Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov/cpi) on November 13, 2024. To index the data each month, the BLS monitors the prices of about 80,000 consumer goods and services from around the nation. All monthly and annual pricing changes are in percentages.

April 2024 to October 2024 Consumer Prices – Gains & Losses in Percent
(Seasonally Adjusted from Prior Month and Unadjusted 12-Month)

  Apr 2024 May 2024 June 2024 July 2024 Aug 2024 Sept 2024 Oct 2024 12 Month
All items 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.6
  Food 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 2.1
    Food at home -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.1
    Food away from home 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.8
  Energy 1.1 -2.0 -2.0 0.0 -0.8 -1.9 0.0 -4.9
    Energy commodities 2.7 -3.5 -3.7 0.1 -0.6 -4.0 -1.0 -12.4
      Gasoline (all types) 2.8 -3.6 -3.8 0.0 -0.6 -4.1 -0.9 -12.2
      Fuel oil 0.9 -0.4 -2.4 0.9 -1.9 -6.0 -4.6 -20.8
    Energy services -0.7 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.9 0.7 1.0 4.0
      Electricity -0.1 0.0 -0.7 0.1 -0.7 0.7 1.2 4.5
      Utility (piped) gas service -2.9 -0.8 2.4 -0.7 -1.9 0.7 0.3 2.0
  All items less food, energy 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.3
    Commodities less food, energy -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 0.2 0.0 -1.0
      New vehicles -0.4 -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 -1.3
      Used cars and trucks -1.4 0.6 -1.5 -2.3 -1.0 0.3 2.7 -3.4
      Apparel 1.2 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 0.3 1.1 -1.5 0.3
      Medical care 0.4 1.3 0.2 0.2 -0.2 -0.7 -0.2 1.0
    Services less energy 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 4.8
      Shelter 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 4.9
      Transportation 0.9 -0.5 -0.5 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.4 8.2
      Medical care 0.4 0.3 0.2 -0.3 -0.1 0.7 0.4 3.8

 

The BLS releases inflation data around the middle of the month, covering consumer prices surveyed up to the previous month. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November and the latest annual period will be made public on December 11, 2024.

The CPI data is also used to calculate inflation rates and power this site’s U.S. Inflation Calculator, which displays the cumulative inflation and the change in the buying power of the U.S. dollar over time.

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