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US Inflation Rate Remains at 2.9%, but Consumer Prices Jump 0.4% in February 2012

While the annual percentage rate remained unchanged, US inflation climbed sharply in February as soaring gasoline costs drove the biggest monthly increase in consumer prices since April 2011.

Consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in February after an increase of 0.2 percent in January, the US government reported today in Washington. The cost of food was actually flat last month, marking the first time food prices have not advanced since July 2010. But energy prices surged in February as prices at the pump jumped 6.0 percent.

"The gasoline index rose sharply in February, accounting for over 80 percent of the change in the all items index. The gasoline increase led to a 3.2 percent rise in the energy index despite a decline in the index for natural gas," the US Labor Department said in its monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which is the government’s key measure of US inflation.

"The food index was unchanged in February, with the food at home index unchanged for the second month in a row as major grocery store food indexes were mixed."

Stripping out food and energy prices, which tend to be more volatile, the so-called core US inflation rate rose 0.1 percent in February after rising 0.2 percent in January. Many economists had expected a reading of 0.2 percent.

"Inflationary pressures remain minimal. There is no indication that higher energy prices are leading to price increases for other goods, and in fact inflation outside of food and energy is slowing," PNC Financial economist Gus Faucher said according to USA TODAY.

"Firms are trying to hold the line on price increases given still-soft demand, and weak wage growth and high profit margins give them flexibility."

US inflation rose 2.9 percent in the last 12 months, equaling the same pace ending in January. The annual rate was at 3.9 percent as recently as September.

The core US inflation rate rose 2.2 percent over the past year after climbing 2.3 percent in January which had been the biggest 12-month increase since September 2008. The amount continues to be a bit higher than the Fed’s 2.0 percent target, although that is seen as temporary according to the latest FOMC statement released on Tuesday.

"Inflation has been subdued in recent months, although prices of crude oil and gasoline have increased lately. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable," stated the Fed’s FOMC statement for February which was released on March 13.

"The recent increase in oil and gasoline prices will push up inflation temporarily, but the Committee anticipates that subsequently inflation will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate," the statement added.

Some, not all, economists agree.

"Despite the spike in energy prices, which should have only temporary effects on CPI inflation, the downward trajectory for consumer price inflation remains largely intact," Reuters quoted Millan Mulraine, senior macro strategist at TD Securities in New York.

"We expect the benign inflationary backdrop and weak pace of slack absorption the economy to provide a supportive environment for monetary policy," he added

The following table provides US Labor Department inflation data ranging from August to February and on a 12-month basis.

February 2012 Consumer Prices – Gains (percent)

All items 0.4 0.3 -0.1 .0 .0 0.2 0.4 2.9
  Food 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 .0 3.9
    Food at home 0.6 0.6 0.1 -0.1 0.3 .0 .0 4.5
    Food away from home 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.1
  Energy 1.2 2.0 -2.0 -1.6 -1.3 0.2 3.2 7.0
    Energy commodities 1.6 2.7 -2.9 -2.1 -1.9 0.9 5.7 12.4
      Gasoline (all types) 1.9 2.9 -3.1 -2.4 -2.0 0.9 6.0 12.6
      Fuel oil -0.4 -0.7 -0.5 2.7 -1.0 1.4 2.8 8.9
    Energy services 0.4 0.7 -0.4 -0.7 -0.3 -0.8 -0.8 -1.0
      Electricity -0.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 -0.2 .0 .0 1.9
      Utility (piped) gas service 2.2 0.8 -3.0 -4.4 -0.8 -2.9 -3.4 -9.8
  All items less food, energy 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
    Comm. less food, energy 0.4 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.1 2.0
      New vehicles .0 .0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 .0 0.6 3.0
      Used cars and trucks 0.9 -0.6 -0.6 -0.1 -0.9 -1.0 -0.2 2.9
      Apparel 1.1 -1.1 0.4 0.6 -0.1 0.9 -0.9 4.2
      Medical care 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 3.3
    Services less energy 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.2
      Shelter 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.0
      Transportation 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 .0 -0.2 1.6
      Medical care 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 .0 3.1


The US Labor Department will publish March 2012 Consumer Price Index information on April 13, 2012 at 8:30 AM Eastern Time. Current and historic CPI data is used as the core data for the US Inflation Calculator.



  1. I don’t know what planet they’re getting their inflation numbers from on food but it certainly isn’t this one.. I paid $15K for food last year feeding a family of 3. And that was pretty much living off of the basic staples.. If I wanted to buy a steak, they are selling for $12 a lb where I live. I think that’s pretty close to double what it was a few years ago. I’m tired of being lied to about this. Give us the real numbers and stop lying!

  2. This is a LIE!!! Meat has jumped 25% gas is through the roof along with most items. How abpout giving the truth this is a blatant fabrication!!!

  3. My food bill is our highest monthy bill except our mortgage. Our food bill takes all of our extra cash flow we have. To feed a family of 3 I spend between $600 to $800 a month just on food to cook evry day; very simple meals. Food prices have double since last year. But does my comments carries any weight, NO. It will always be the same. Prices will still increase and the middle class will suffer more and more. Until we are poor. Then there will be two kinds of poeple in the US, rich and poor.

  4. When bread (the walmart basic) goes from $1 to $1.25 in a month, that is a 25% INFLATION rate on food. I guess that doesn’t count in their numbers. They must be looking at the cost of caviar and lobster(those haven’t changed much, wonder why?).

    Dinty Moore Beef stew went from $2 to $2.08 (that is a rate of 4%). Chips are almost 15-20% up. I don’t know who is doing the math, or what they are using, but either they are complete fools, or they are trying to lie long enough to keep the US from a mass uprising. Either way, stock up while you can, because I fear it will only get worse with Q.E. infinity now being done.

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